With US corn-derived ethanol the greater very likely feedstock for the US ATJ SAF plant provided possible constraints on Brazilian sugarcane-based mostly ethanol exports, however, a substantial price premium earlier mentioned typical jet fuel prices will be demanded for SAF production from corn ethanol being rewarding since corn-derived ethanol feedstock features an increased CI and garners reduced subsidies and credits.
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Assuming sugarcane-based ethanol is priced at parity to corn-centered ethanol, the lower CI of the former is Evidently extra cost-effective than corn-centered ethanol with the ATJ SAF process. As Beforehand mentioned while in the discussion on feedstock supply, even so, Brazil’s recent ethanol supply availability is negligible compared to forecast SAF production demand, which must be regarded as when assessing possible US ATJ SAF jobs.
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Irrespective, any sugarcane-dependent ethanol ATJ SAF plant ought to have the flexibleness to switch to corn-dependent ethanol to mitigate from scenarios in the event the sugarcane harvest decreases or sugar prices raise.
Alongside analyzing feedstock supply challenges, ATJ technology, and process economics in opposition to the history of regulatory incentives made to spur amplified output of SAF, the posting also explores the future of US-centered ATJ SAF production and indicates strategies to boost probable undertaking profitability.
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This is based to the sugarcane-derived ethanol’s CI of 23.eight gCO2e/MJ, incorporating contributions from estimations for transportation into the US and ATJ plant emissions, and subtracting believed advancements to lessen the CI.
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